They state that there will be a 17% drop in the death rate due to advances in treatment and decreases in smoking rates. They predict that the death rates will drop from 170/100,000 deaths to 142/100,000 deaths. Here is the little chart showing their data in a very simplified form.
Let's put some numbers to this to see how it looks on this side of the pond.
| US 2012 Predicted Deaths | %+/- | estimated 2030 death rate | |
| All cancers | 577,190 | -17% | 479,067 |
| Breast cancer | 39,920 | -28% | 28,742 |
| Bowel/Colon | 51,690 | -23% | 39,801 |
| Kidney | 13,570 | -17% | 11,263 |
| Oral | 7,850 | +22% | 9,577 |
| Liver | 20,550 | +39% | 28,565 |
| Lung | 160,340 | -8% | 14,7513 |
| Ovary | 15,550 | -42% | 9,019 |
| Pancreas | 37,390 | -3% | 36,268 |
| Prostate | 28,170 | -16% | 23,664 |
So if my numbers are correct (I was not the stellar math student and claim chemo brain so there is so margin for error) while it is exciting that there is an expected 42% drop in ovarian cancer death rates, that really only 6000. This would be 100,000 fewer deaths in the US in 18 years. Or a drop of 5555 less each year. At that rate it will take 86 more years to end cancer deaths in the US. That is too long as far as I am concerned. Most of us can expect to be here in 2030 but probably very very few will be here in 2116.
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